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Tag: econ.EM

Graph-Regularized Synthetic Control for Stable Counterfactual Estimation under Donor Redundancy

Graph-Regularized Synthetic Control for Stable Counterfactual Estimation under Donor Redundancy

October 21, 2026

[Submitted on 16 Oct 2026] View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:Synthetic control methods estimate counterfactual outcomes by weighting untreated donor units…

Announced Breaks Separate Conformal Reliability from Frequency Calibration

Announced Breaks Separate Conformal Reliability from Frequency Calibration

October 20, 2026

[Submitted on 3 Oct 2026] Authors:Karl Li (Columbia University) View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:An announced boundary reveals the partition before…

Organizing LLM Inference for Aggregate Predictions from Behavioral Data

Organizing LLM Inference for Aggregate Predictions from Behavioral Data

October 20, 2026

[Submitted on 7 Oct 2026] View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:When using a large language model (LLM) to simulate a user…

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